A public compendium · updated daily

AI model distillation: how frontier intelligence is compressed, priced, and contested.

Distillation moves capability from a large teacher model into a small, cheap student. It is the quiet engine behind most models people actually pay for, the subject of an open dispute between the largest labs, and a live regulatory question in three jurisdictions. This compendium tracks all of it.

Key figures · one per perspective

Citations: Hinton, Vinyals & Dean (2015)

25,899 citations

Semantic Scholar citation count for arXiv:1503.02531, retrieved 2026-09-04

api.semanticscholar.org

Nvidia single-day market-cap loss

589 USD billions

27 Jan 2025, after DeepSeek-R1 and its distilled students shipped. Largest one-day loss in US market history.

cnbc.com

Claude exchanges in largest disclosed campaign

28,800,000 exchanges

Anthropic's June 10, 2026 letter to Senate Banking alleges Alibaba/Qwen-affiliated operators ran 28.8M+ exchanges between Apr 22 and Jun 5, 2026

d1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net

Fraudulent accounts in Anthropic's Feb 2026 report

24,000 accounts

DeepSeek, Moonshot AI and MiniMax combined; MiniMax alone drove 13M+ exchanges

anthropic.com

DeepSeek-R1-Distill family, all-time HF downloads

97,824,225 downloads

Sum of the six official R1-Distill repos (1.5B, 7B, 8B, 14B, 32B, 70B) via the Hugging Face API on 2026-09-03

huggingface.co

Enterprise inference price index

1.17 USD / M tokens

Silicon Data index cited by Jefferies; hit a 2026 low of $1.16–$1.18 on 6–8 Aug 2026, down from $2.04 on 31 May and $1.45 in late July.

scmp.com

Methods catalogued here

27 methods

Counted in extras.methods; families extend the response / feature / relation trichotomy of Gou et al. (arXiv 2006.05525) with six additional families specific to generative and compression-composed KD; eleven families in total.

arxiv.org

Dated events in this timeline

130 events

Every event carries its own source URL; spans 2006-08-20 to 2026-09-03.

dl.acm.org

The perspectives · 8 sections

  • Academic

    Knowledge distillation research: from dark knowledge to on-policy reasoning transfer

    Knowledge distillation began as a model-compression trick — Buciluă, Caruana and Niculescu-Mizil compressed an ensemble into a single net in 2006, and Hinton, Vinyals and Dean gave it its modern soft-target formulation in 2015 (now ~25.9k citations).

    8 figures · 6 tables · 6 charts · 48 sources

  • Financial

    What it costs to distill an AI model: prices, training costs and the market shocks

    Distillation is, at bottom, an arbitrage: the capability embedded in a $40M-$500M frontier training run can be harvested through an API for a four- or five-figure query bill and re-trained into a small model for hundreds of dollars.

    8 figures · 8 tables · 7 charts · 63 sources

  • Political

    Is AI distillation legal? Policy, export controls and the geopolitical fight

    Between January 2025 and September 2026, model distillation went from an obscure machine-learning technique to a named object of US national security policy.

    8 figures · 6 tables · 5 charts · 100 sources

  • Company

    Which AI labs use distillation, which sell it, and which ban it

    Every major AI lab now uses knowledge distillation to build its small and mid-tier models: Google states in the Gemini 2.5 report that all models 'Flash size and below' are distilled, Meta co-distilled Llama 4 Maverick from the 2-trillion-parameter Behemoth,…

    8 figures · 7 tables · 7 charts · 75 sources

  • Developer

    How to distill an LLM: tooling, platforms and recipes (2026)

    By September 2026 a developer can distill a model three ways: with open libraries (Hugging Face TRL now ships four distillation trainers, plus Arcee DistillKit, torchtune, NVIDIA Model Optimizer/NeMo and an Axolotl KD plugin), with managed cloud pipelines…

    8 figures · 7 tables · 8 charts · 58 sources

  • Customer

    Distilled vs frontier AI models: which small model to actually deploy

    For an enterprise buyer in September 2026, the distillation question is no longer "is the small model good enough" but "which small model, and what does the licence let me do with it".

    8 figures · 5 tables · 6 charts · 78 sources

  • Library

    The distillation method library: every method, how it works and where it fails

    Knowledge distillation is not one technique but a family of at least two dozen distinct methods, separated by what signal crosses from teacher to student (logits, hidden features, pairwise relations, sampled text, preferences, or denoising trajectories) and by…

    8 figures · 4 tables · 5 charts · 66 sources

  • Timeline

    History of AI distillation, 2006 to 2026

    Knowledge distillation began as an academic model-compression trick (Bucila 2006, Hinton 2015) and spent a decade as a research topic before becoming the default way to build small language models (DistilBERT 2019, Gemma, Llama 3.2, Qwen3).

    6 figures · 1 table · 3 charts · 111 sources

Live signals · refreshed 19 October 2026

arXiv preprints matching “knowledge distillation”, per year

12 rows
arXiv preprints matching “knowledge distillation”, per year — Counted by the arXiv API on 19 October 2026. The current year is incomplete. — Units: Preprints in papers.
YearPreprints papers
20152
20166
201720
201854
2019163
2020342
2021467
2022641
2023807
20241,016
20251,120
2026866

All time: 5,505 preprints; last 30 days: 102. A paper count measures attention, not quality.

Sources: info.arxiv.org · global-distillation.com

Tracked distilled models on Hugging Face

10 rows
Tracked distilled models on Hugging Face — Downloads over the 30 days to 19 October 2026, for a fixed watchlist. — Units: Downloads in downloads, 30 days; Likes in likes.
ModelDownloads downloads, 30 daysLikes likes
deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-32B368,3981,657 huggingface.co
deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B385,097934 huggingface.co
deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B134,030911 huggingface.co
deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-1.5B1,296,4711,638 huggingface.co
distilbert/distilbert-base-uncased7,241,3531,489 huggingface.co
Qwen/Qwen3-8B9,122,6232,125 huggingface.co
google/gemma-3-4b-it1,080,4921,583 huggingface.co
meta-llama/Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct1,201,9772,814 huggingface.co
microsoft/Phi-4-mini-instruct370,764861 huggingface.co
HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM3-3B751,2061,066 huggingface.co

16,823 models on the Hub match “distill”.

Sources: huggingface.co · global-distillation.com

Distillation tooling on GitHub

15 rows
Distillation tooling on GitHub — Star and fork counts read from the GitHub API on 19 October 2026. — Units: Stars in stars; Forks in forks.
RepositoryStars starsForks forks
huggingface/trl19,5483,079 github.com
arcee-ai/DistillKit1,084143 github.com
pytorch/torchtune5,818759 github.com
NVIDIA/NeMo18,6023,650 github.com
axolotl-ai-cloud/axolotl12,5911,598 github.com
unslothai/unsloth78,2367,238 github.com
hiyouga/LLaMA-Factory75,5769,263 github.com
vllm-project/vllm94,09923,568 github.com
sgl-project/sglang37,3129,678 github.com
huggingface/open-r126,4752,452 github.com
open-thoughts/open-thoughts2,346197 github.com
EleutherAI/lm-evaluation-harness14,2643,693 github.com
SafeAILab/EAGLE2,555297 github.com
NovaSky-AI/SkyThought3,401345 github.com
simplescaling/s16,672756 github.com

Stars measure attention, not adoption.

Sources: docs.github.com · global-distillation.com

Recent items

8 items

Items are listed as published, never summarised into a claim.

Latest events · most recent 8

  1. product

    OpenAI launches GPT-6 Astra at $10/$50 per million tokens

    OpenAI calls Astra a generational leap and the first model to trigger its highest internal cyber safeguards; president Greg Brockman frames it as the start of AGI. At 40x the input price of GPT-5.4 mini it resets the gap that the next distilled tier will have to close.

    Source: cnbc.com
  2. product

    Anthropic releases Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1

    Same weights with different safeguard levels: Fable 5.1 is generally available with cheaper cache reads and fewer false-positive refusals, while Mythos 5.1 stays limited to vetted US organisations under trusted-access programs.

    Source: techcrunch.com
  3. product

    Anthropic publishes how Claude's text watermark works

    Anthropic uses a SynthID-Text-style scheme that biases the randomness used to choose among equally good word options with a cryptographic key, leaving no hidden characters and no token cost. Anthropic frames it as provenance for EU transparency compliance rather than an anti-distillation control, since it only marks words Claude actually chooses.

    Source: anthropic.com
  4. product

    DeepSeek V4-Pro (1.6T parameters) reaches general availability

    The 0813 build ends a preview that began on 24 April and completes the V4 rollout across app, web and API. V4's post-training merges RL-trained domain specialists into the unified model by on-policy distillation.

    Source: api-docs.deepseek.com
  5. product

    Anthropic announces it will watermark text generated by Claude

    The commitment follows Anthropic's July 2026 signature on the EU Code of Practice on Transparency of AI-Generated Content and applies at the model level to every Claude surface for models released after 2 August.

    Source: techcrunch.com
  6. product

    Meta releases Muse Glimmer 30B, distilled from the closed Muse Spark

    A 29.6B dense vision-language agentic model with a ViT-G/14 encoder and 128K context, Apache 2.0, quantised to run under 20GB of RAM. It is the clearest 2026 case of a US lab shipping open weights that are an admitted distillation of its own unreleased flagship.

    Source: neowin.net
  7. market

    ByteDance founder Zhang Yiming bans distillation inside the Seed AI team

    Zhang tells an internal all-hands that ByteDance will not distil closed or open-weight models, including Kimi K3, even at the cost of falling behind domestic rivals, and Seed issues a policy with API-level detection. It is the first Chinese lab to renounce the practice outright.

    Source: technode.com
  8. policy

    Senators introduce the BLADE Act (S. 5252) to block large-scale adversarial distillation

    Hagerty, Scott, Kim and Cortez Masto's bipartisan bill directs the executive branch to publicly list foreign distillation actors, work with industry on detection, and authorises Commerce export controls and Treasury sanctions against them.

    Source: hagerty.senate.gov

The data behind every figure · 468 catalogued sources